Glass Half Empty Kind of Guy Sometimes
Jill from WLST posted a bit on Progress Ohio concerning a Harris Poll that looked at Party ID and Political Philosophy Labels, which was discussed earlier today on the Daily Bellwether .
The write-up gives two somewhat opposing interpretations of trend data, one short term, and one long term:
The Harris Polls conducted by telephone in 2006 show the Democrats continuing to increase their lead over Republicans in party identification. Currently, the Democrats’ lead over the Republicans is nine percentage points, up from six percentage points in 2005 and three points in 2004. This is now the largest Democratic lead since 1998, when it was also nine percentage points.
...
The Democratic lead over Republicans has fallen over time from 21 percentage points in the 1970s, to 11 points in the 1980s and seven points in the 1990s.The lead has averaged six percentage points in the 2000s;
Because people like graphs, I made one of both the party ID data, and the Philosophy label ID data. I'll let y'all interpret the first graph however you like (the title of this post should let you know how I think), but I'll offer an opinion on the second one: Isn't the conventional wisdom that it used to be perfectly acceptable to call yoursel "liberal," and then sometime around the Dukakis/Pappy race it became the "L" word, and recently folks have been fighting to reclaim it? That's sure a whole lot of wisdom to expend explaining a series of changes that don't seem to have actually occurred...