Thursday, November 06, 2008

The more things change

The 2008 numbers are nowhere near final, so the tables below will change a bit when all is said and done, but they probably won't change enough to alter whatever interpretation you project upon them. In 2000, there was a hard fought presidential election in which Ohio was a swing state. In the 12th District, the Republican-held seat was open following the retirement of John Kasich. State Rep. Pat Tiberi, the Republican, faced off against Franklin Co. Commissioner Maryellen O'Shaughnessy, the Democrat. Bush won Ohio, and Tiberi took the 12th, losing in Franklin, but running up the score in Delaware and Licking Counties.

In 2008, 4 term incumbent Pat Tiberi outspent his opponent David Robinson 10-1, leading to all major pundits rating the seat "Safe Republican" until the days immediately preceding the election. Robinson was completely unknown before the campaign started, and even began the primary battling a party-endorsed candidate. It was once again a Presidential year, with Obama taking Ohio this time.

How did these very different situations play out?

2008 F
D
L
Tot
Rob. 101140 24221 15620 140981
Tib. 95419 59623 34201 189243
3rd 5873 2589 1504 9966










2008 F
D
L
Tot
Rob. 49.96% 28.02% 30.43% 41.44%
Tib. 47.14% 68.98% 66.64% 55.63%
3rd 2.90% 3.00% 2.93% 2.93%





2000 F
D
L
Tot
O'S. 87255 15594 12223 115072
Tib. 79289 36539 23414 139242
3rd 5793 1658 1259 8710










2000 F
D
L
Tot
O'S. 50.63% 28.99% 33.13% 43.75%
Tib. 46.01% 67.93% 63.46% 52.94%
3rd 3.36% 3.08% 3.41% 3.31%

1 comment:

britney said...

nice post...
___________________
Britney
The best place for the best ENTERTAINMENT